New Mexico +5.5 vs Nevada: This is not the Nevada of old and I am not comfortable laying multiple buckets with the Wolfpack on the road vs a conference foe. New Mexico's underlying numbers aren't as good as Nevada's but the two games at Boise State skew the situation. This is New Mexico's first true home game vs a D1 opponent and they should be … [Read more...]

**St. Bonaventure +1.5 at Rhode Island: Rhode Island is battle tested and strong at home but there's a reason oddsmakers have only listed them as a bucket favorite. St. Bonaventure can play and more specifically, score and that's why I like them in this spot. Underlying numbers also favor the Bonnies and they should more than handle the rebound … [Read more...]

**Iona -7 vs Towson State: Iona is a on a 3-game winning streak ATS and straight up. They are head and shoulders above Towson State when looking at underlying stats and I don't see anyone on the Towson side of the defense that will be able to stop Gaels guard Isaiah, who is flourishing under Rick Patino. Take the home favorite here. **Santa … [Read more...]

**Colorado +2.5 at Arizona: Colorado is a strong 5-2 ATS this season and their underlying numbers play both at home and on the road so I won't hesitate to side with them here. Arizona has had success at home but all have been vs. below average mid majors like UTEP, N. Arizona, and Grambling. And still, their key stats are below Colorado's. Take the … [Read more...]

**Drake -2.5 at Indiana State: There is a huge gap in underlying numbers between these teams and Drake rules them all. Indiana State is 2-0 at home vs the likes of Ball State and SE Missouri State - Drake is a huge class jump over those two. Along with being undefeated, Drake has covered the spread in all 7 games vs D1 opponents. The only reason … [Read more...]

**Detroit Mercy -3.5 vs Oakland: Both of these teams have taken on strong competition so far and their records reflect it. Oakland is still seeking its first win of the season and I don't think it will happen at Calihan Hall in Detroit today. Detroit guard Antoine Davis will be playing on NBA courts soon and in spite of the tough competition (Notre … [Read more...]

**Wisconsin -1 at Michigan State : Michigan State's pair of "big" wins this season at Duke and Notre Dame aren't looking too hot right now. Sparty has not covered in their last 4 games - all as favorites. It's good to see that Michigan State's leading scorer and rebounder Joey Hauser's knee issue isn't serious and he will be back but it's … [Read more...]

**Hofstra +13 (Wynn) at Richmond: Until Hofstra faces more defense-minded teams, I will continue to back them as double digit dogs.  Richmond likes to shoot the three and I see this game having a lot of offense, which is right up Hofstra's alley. Hofstra is hitting at a 69% ATS clip over their last 77 games and behind their high scoring guards, … [Read more...]

**Eastern Illinois -3.5 at SIU Edwardsville: Both of these teams have faced similar type of opponents with Eastern Illinois showing superior underlying numbers thus far. Eastern is 4-0 straight up but has yet to cover the spread....I think that ends today. Lay the 3.5. College of Charleston at Georgia State **OVER 142.5 (Circa Line): Georgia … [Read more...]

**Oklahoma State +7 at Texas: I like what I have seen from the Longhorns thus far, especially on defense but this spread is a tad high in my opinion. Oklahoma State flat out had a bad game vs TCU (3 for 17 from 3-point land) yet still lost by only a point in a game they could have easily won. Their effort should be strong today as they look to … [Read more...]