**Eastern Washington +10.5 at Weber State. Weber State sits atop the very competitive Big Sky conference and deserves to be favored here but not by double digits. If Weber State has a kryptonite, it's vs. teams with solid defenses and Eastern Washington is showing some tenacity defensively over their last several conference games. Add to the mix … [Read more...]

**Fordham +1.5 at George Washington. Fordham is on a 4-game skid but this looks like a soft spot to snap the losing streak vs a GW squad that turns the ball over way too much. GW also lacks rebounding ability, which will hurt them here as well. Fordham continues to be undervalued as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Take the … [Read more...]

**Illinois-Chicago +10.5 at Oakland. I'm looking for Illinois-Chicago to end a mini-skid today with a good performance. They hold a 3-game losing streak heading into this game but underlying numbers show a tad of bad luck as their assist and turnover numbers on the offensive side have been actually quite good. One flaw is their rebounding, however … [Read more...]

**Niagara -1 at Siena. Although a pair of recent defeats at home don't reflect it, Niagara is playing with an improved offensive efficiency as of late - something Siena is absolutely not doing. Niagara can hit from 3-point range and I think their defense will be good enough to stymie a Siena back court that is very below average. I'll lay the … [Read more...]

**Albany +5 at UMass-Lowell. Albany has been undervalued from an ATS standpoint in conference games over the past several seasons (56% ATS). They get points here vs a UMass-Lowell team that is struggling offensively as of late. Albany’s leading scorer De’Vondre Perry is out for the remainder of the year, but Albany’s back court is good enough … [Read more...]

**Kansas State +13.5 at Baylor. Kansas State has covered all 5 of its road games so far this season - all as underdogs to boot. This will be a much different test however vs a Baylor team that is back on track winning 2 in a row after losing 2 straight at home to Texas Tech and Oklahoma State. Who did Baylor beat to get back on track? A pair of … [Read more...]

***UNC-Wilmington +3.5 at Northeastern. UNC-Wilmington is a live dog here based on their improving guard play and a favorable trend in their offense limiting turnovers. There are red flags with Northeastern's back court as their assist and turnover numbers are headed in the wrong direction - something you do not like to see when laying points. … [Read more...]

**Illinois State -4.5 at Evansville. I do not see Evansville keeping this game close - even after seeing Illinois State 2 days ago, where the Aces went down in a blowout loss. The point spread being this tight is somewhat suspicious but the underlying numbers show Illinois State being heads and shoulders better than Evansville. Illinois State's … [Read more...]

Kentucky +3.5 at Auburn. Auburn finally gets to face a top 15 team as they welcome Kentucky to Auburn Arena on Saturday. Auburn's solid back court will be challenged mightily by a Kentucky defense that is efficient as they come, holding opposing offenses to an under 40% shooting percentage. Kentucky will also dominate the boards here - the Wildcats … [Read more...]