The Vegas Sports Book Blog
MLB Free Pick DBacks (+130 first 5 innings) at Mets There are red flags taking the favorite here. First is the line movement. 95% of the money is on the Mets for today's matinee at Citi Field. Yet, this line hasn't moved much since it opened. For example, the Westgate SuperBook opened at DBacks +145 - as of this writing, the line moved to … [Read more...]
MLB Free Pick Braves at Padres (-110) Padres lefty MacKenzie Gore makes his pro debut vs Atlanta this evening at Petco Park. It's a tough way to kick off your pro career but Gore may be catching the Braves at a time where their bats are still working their way into regular season mode. Atlanta hitters are in the bottom half of MLB in batting … [Read more...]
MLB Free Pick Nationals at Pirates (-126) Pirates starter JT Brubaker won't be labeled as a staff ace - a career ERA over 5.00 is one of the reasons why. However, Brubaker can strike batters out and today he gets to pitch vs a Nationals team whose batters are striking out at a 35% clip to start 2022. That's third worst in all MLB. Brubaker … [Read more...]
White Sox starter Vincent Velasquez will take the mound as a fill-in for injured Lucas Giolito's spot in the rotation. The -130 White Sox number on opening day in the South-Side is enticing for many (as of this writing, 81% of the money is on Chicago) but Velasquez is a fill in for a reason. Velasquez will get his strike outs today - however the … [Read more...]
Underdog Play: Brewers at Orioles +140 Brewers hitters have been notoriously bad vs lefty pitchers (2021 + first few games of 2022) and I see no reason why all of a sudden they will pound Orioles SP Bruce Zimmerman today. Zimmerman generally throws a lot of ground balls and has a swinging K rate that is on the rise - several points higher than … [Read more...]
Braves starter Ian Anderson's strike out rate headed south last season. The second second half regression last year could very well have been due to shoulder issues. However, the 7.88 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 8 innings this spring could indicate that Anderson hasn't come all the way back yet. Also, Anderson is sub .500 in day games for his … [Read more...]
Angels +108 vs Astros Justin Verlander will take the mound for the Houston Astros after a long road back from Tommy John surgery. Verlander had a great spring but so did Angels starter Noah Syndergaard who is also back from Tommy John after a being away for over a year (he did pitch a few innings at the end of last season). The Angels come … [Read more...]
*Tigers +123 vs White Sox Some red flags with White Sox starter Lucas Giolito. Giolito holds an 6.33 ERA in April, which is by far his worst month over his career. Adding to this, Tigers hitters expected to be in the lineup Friday afternoon hold a .297 career batting average vs. Giolito. Keep an eye on Tigers OF Akil Baddoo, whose had success in … [Read more...]
Baseball Free Pick Reds (+162) at Braves (-174) Today’s Reds starting pitcher Tyler Mahle has performed much better away from his home diamond at Great American ballpark: Mahle has a career 3.72 ERA on the road, which is over a point lower than his home ERA. Mahle also comes out of the gate strong holding a 10.3 K per 9 inning mark in … [Read more...]
College Basketball Best Bets Tulane +13.5 Michigan State +6.5 St. Peter's -2 SMU +5 LB State +2 … [Read more...]
