**Clemson -4.5 vs NC State: Clemson has covered all but one of their 7 home games whil NC State’s lone road game was a double digit ATS loss to St.Louis. Clemson’s Aamir Sims is playing well averaging over 13 points and nearly 6 rebounds per game. The injury to NC State’s big man many Bates is a concern – he’s only practiced lightly this … [Read more...]

**Oregon State (#864) +6 vs Stanford: The Cardinal is yet to cover on the road and I am not looking to back them as a road favorite at Corvallis. Stanford should play better than what they showed at Oregon on New Years Day (73-56 loss) but underlying numbers favor the Beavers here...and as I have said, Oregon State seems to always step up vs … [Read more...]

**Rhode Island (#830) -11.5 vs St Josephs:  Rhode Island's home victory over St. Bonaventure looks even more impressive now after the Bonnies handled Richmond on the road yesterday. St. Joseph's underlying numbers are poor and they are allowing over 90-points per game. No reason to think that Rhode Island does not roll here. Lay it. **Southern … [Read more...]

**Providence +4.5 vs Creighton: Creighton is 37% ATS this season as favorites. Their offense is elite but Xavier may have found some weaknesses as the Blue Jays scored a season low 66 points. Providence on the other hand held Butler to 55 points a few days back. The Friars are solid coming off a straight up win sporting a 6-2 ATS record so far this … [Read more...]

Cleveland State -3.5 at Indiana-Purdue: Cleveland State's underlying assist and turnover numbers are headed in the right direction. Their offensive output is strong. Very small sample size for Indiana-Purdue, but regardless, Cleveland State is better and is improving. Lay the points here. Niagara -1.5 at Marist: After a shaky start, Niagara has … [Read more...]

New Mexico +5.5 vs Nevada: This is not the Nevada of old and I am not comfortable laying multiple buckets with the Wolfpack on the road vs a conference foe. New Mexico's underlying numbers aren't as good as Nevada's but the two games at Boise State skew the situation. This is New Mexico's first true home game vs a D1 opponent and they should be … [Read more...]

**St. Bonaventure +1.5 at Rhode Island: Rhode Island is battle tested and strong at home but there's a reason oddsmakers have only listed them as a bucket favorite. St. Bonaventure can play and more specifically, score and that's why I like them in this spot. Underlying numbers also favor the Bonnies and they should more than handle the rebound … [Read more...]

**Iona -7 vs Towson State: Iona is a on a 3-game winning streak ATS and straight up. They are head and shoulders above Towson State when looking at underlying stats and I don't see anyone on the Towson side of the defense that will be able to stop Gaels guard Isaiah, who is flourishing under Rick Patino. Take the home favorite here. **Santa … [Read more...]

**Colorado +2.5 at Arizona: Colorado is a strong 5-2 ATS this season and their underlying numbers play both at home and on the road so I won't hesitate to side with them here. Arizona has had success at home but all have been vs. below average mid majors like UTEP, N. Arizona, and Grambling. And still, their key stats are below Colorado's. Take the … [Read more...]

**Drake -2.5 at Indiana State: There is a huge gap in underlying numbers between these teams and Drake rules them all. Indiana State is 2-0 at home vs the likes of Ball State and SE Missouri State - Drake is a huge class jump over those two. Along with being undefeated, Drake has covered the spread in all 7 games vs D1 opponents. The only reason … [Read more...]