Wednesday Night College Hoops Plays

**Morehead State -13.5 vs UT Martin: UT Martin is 9-22 (29.0%) ATS as a road dog since 2019. They visit a much improved Morehead State squad who always shows up for OVC home games & holds several statistical advantages (rebounding, 2-pt%) tonight. Lay it with the home favorite here.  Additional Play(s): **Cal Baptist -8.5 vs Dixie State … [Read more...]

Monday College Football & Hoops Plays

College Football Championship **Georgia -2.5 vs Alabama College Hoops **Western Carolina +9.5 at East Tenn State: Underlying numbers show that Western Carolina has two key advantages over East Tenn State: 1. They protect the ball better and 2. they hold a modest rebounding advantage. East Tenn State is 2-4 ATS at home so far this season … [Read more...]

Saturday College Hoops Plays

***Texas A&M Pick vs Arkansas:  Arkansas' ability to protect the ball away from Fayetteville is suspect and Texas A&M's strong defensive efficiency numbers doesn't give me confidence that the Razorback offense will respond here. Arkansas has stayed under 70 points in their last 2 road games and they will have to do much better scoring-wise … [Read more...]

Wednesday College Hoops Plays

**Illinois -10.5 vs Maryland:  Maryland taking Iowa to the limit and covering the spread on Monday night was an aberration. Iowa's run and gun offense fell right into Maryland's favor as the Terps mediocre offense benefited from Iowa's high paced offense and lack of defense and rebounding. Things will be much different in Champaign tonight as they … [Read more...]

Monday Night College Hoops Plays

***Iowa -8.5 vs Maryland:  Maryland is challenged offensively and their underlying scoring numbers really take a hit when they are away from the Xfinity Center. Iowa has taken care of business ATS-wise hitting at nearly 70% so far in 2021/2022. This is Maryland’s first true road game of the season and it’s a tough place to start in what should … [Read more...]

College Hoops Wednesday Plays

COLLEGE HOOPS PLAYS WEDNESDAY 11/24/21 Sam Houston +7.5 (first half)    Princeton -1      Seton Hall/Cal Under 130.5   … [Read more...]

College Basketball Plays for 1/11/21

**(865) UConn -5 at DePaul: UConn’s across the board underlying numbers are better than DePaul’s. DePaul has given up over 84 PPG over their last 3, which correlates with their subpar defensive efficiency numbers. UConn has shown that they can handle their business on the road and that has a lot to do with their strong defensive play. UConn is … [Read more...]

College Basketball Plays for 1/10/21

**(811)Xavier -3.5 vs Providence: Providence has a sub .500 ATS record on the road. Xavier took action early as the -3 number disappeared quickly and is now, as of this writing, a mix of -3.5 and -4 at Vegas books. Xavier's defensive efficiency is stronger than Providence's number and the Friars underlying defensive numbers actually drop away from … [Read more...]

College Basketball Plays for 1/9/21

**(624)Miami of Ohio -6.5 vs N. Illinois:  Northern Illinois has covered the spread only once in 9 games this season. While Miami of Ohio is no juggernaut, their underlying numbers, especially in their last 3 contests before the hiatus, show marked improvement. Take the home team to cover here. **(662)Evansville -4.5 vs Illinois State: … [Read more...]

College Basketball Picks for 1/8/21

**Louisiana Monroe +5.5 vs UT Arlington: Louisiana Monroe has shown me enough playing at home to jump on them as a multi-bucket home dog here. Underlying defensive efficiency numbers favor L-Monroe and several of UT Arlington's key stats drop when the Roadrunners play on the road. L-Monroe has a positive ATS record vs these kind of defenses and … [Read more...]