College Basketball Plays for 1/10/21

**(811)Xavier -3.5 vs Providence: Providence has a sub .500 ATS record on the road. Xavier took action early as the -3 number disappeared quickly and is now, as of this writing, a mix of -3.5 and -4 at Vegas books. Xavier’s defensive efficiency is stronger than Providence’s number and the Friars underlying defensive numbers actually drop away from Rhode Island. I’m comfortable laying -3.5 here.

**(826) Iowa -9.5 vs Minnesota: Minnesota’s underlying turnover/assist numbers drop precipitously when they are on the road and they are 0-3 ATS away from the Twin Cities – all 3 away ATS losses were as underdogs. Iowa is 7-1 (87.5%) as a home favorite. Minnesota center Liam Robbins may not be 100% and that’s not a good thing when confronted with Iowa big man Luka Garza. This is a revenge spot for Iowa and a double digit win is likely on their home court.  

**(307143)UNC Asheville -2 at Hampton: There is a discrepancy between both team’s underlying offensive numbers with UNC Asheville coming out on top in several categories. A peek at KenPom rankings also reflects this. UNC Asheville should turn the tables in this back-to-back after Hampton beat them by a bucket yesterday (Friday).   

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