TCU -10.5 over Iowa State – Many handicappers would shy away from wagering hard-earned, pre-taxed dollars on a staggering squad sporting a two-game losing streak.
But, sometimes in this business, it is wise to bob when others weave and vice versa.
I believe Saturday’s Big XII matchup pitting TCU against Iowa State is such an occasion.
The Horned Frogs have a handful of factors working in their favor against the Cyclones.
First of all, Gary Patterson’s troops certainly remember last season’s 14-7 loss at Iowa State which essentially ended TCU’s (then ranked No. 4) national playoff aspirations.
Plus the Horned Frogs have lost their past two games – 40-28 to Ohio State two weeks ago in Arlington and 31-16 last week at Texas – andare playing at home for the first time since their season opener four weeks ago.
If that’s not enough, Iowa State is expected to again start backup Zeb Noland at quarterback in place of sixth-year senior Kyle Kempt who continues to nurse an unspecified injury.
Also, sophomore dual threat quarterback Shawn Robinson, a first-year starter for the Horned Frogs, now has four starts under his belt and should begin to make some positive strides,
Put it all together and the recommendation is to take TCU and lay the 10.5 points
Paul Stone has over two decades of experience as a bettor and handicapper. He is a winner of multiple Las Vegas handicapping contests and his work has appeared in various media outlets including the Las Vegas-Review Journal and ESPN Insider.
Follow Paul on Twitter@paulstonesports or e-mail him at Paulstonesports@gmail.com.
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