MLB Free Pick Thursday

Cardinals at Marlins -125

The sports books will need St. Louis today as over 2/3 of the handle and over 70% of tickets are on the Red Birds. Even with their anemic bats, the Marlins are favored for a reason – Pablo Lopez. The projected Cardinals lineup has a combined .188 batting average vs Lopez, who has opened the 2022 season fully cranked. In his first two starts of 2022, Lopez kept a pair of decent hitting teams – the Giants and Phillies – to a single run over 10 1/3 innings.

Cardinals hitters eat up lefties, but Arenado and the crew are very ordinary vs right handed pitchers. Despite the Marlins’ struggles with the bats so far this season, they enjoy home cooking. The Marlins hold the third best home on base percentage in MLB and they are number 6 in batting average when playing at Loan Depot Park. The Marlins should do enough in what amounts to a bullpen game for St. Louis, and avoid the sweep.

The Play Marlins -125

Secret Bonus Underdog Play: Rangers +117

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