MLB Free Pick Friday Red Sox at Blue Jays

Red Sox at Blue Jays 4:07 pacific Red Sox starting pitcher James Paxton is sporting the highest swinging strike rate (17.9%) and velocity (95.6 MPH) of his career so far in 2023 - his arm is sound. He's depending more on his 4-seam fastball, which is providing results - Paxton holds a 2.22 ERA over his last 4 starts. Blue Jays bats should be … [Read more...]

MLB Free Pick Thursday Brewers at Mets

Brewers at Mets 4:10 pacific Mets SP Max Scherzer’s last start at Citi Field was on June 13 vs. the Yankees. He was pulled in the 3rd inning after allowing 6 earned runs. The silver lining was that he did not walk anyone and ended up with a no-decision that day. Aside from the aforementioned debacle vs the Yankees, Scherzer’s other starts at … [Read more...]

Free Pick Wednesday Phillies at Cubs

Phillies at Cubs 5:05 pacific Cubs SP Drew Smyly’s shut out performance over 5 innings vs the Pirates 10 days ago is not what it seems. He gave up many walks and got lucky to get out of multiple bases-loaded jams. If Phillies batters begin to get on base early, I believe it will be a difficult outing for Smyly at Wrigley tonight. Over the past … [Read more...]

MLB Free Pick for Tuesday Twins at Braves

Twins at Braves 4:20 pm pacific Braves SP Bryce Elder has pumped out good starts for Atlanta over the past 2 months. He looked strong against the Phillies last week shutting down the Phils for 7 innings.  Twins SP Joe Ryan cleared 110+ pitches in his last start and in his career, he has not been a workhorse. Ryan uses a splitter-heavy … [Read more...]

MLB Free Picks / Selections for Tuesday

Rockies at Reds 4:10 PDT - It’s a small sample size (13 innings) but Rockies starting pitcher Noah Davis has a strong ground ball lean (61%) to start off his MLB career. It will serve him well today vs Reds hitters that are top-10 in MLB when it comes to hitting fly-balls. Davis has struck out 10 batters in the 9 innings he’s pitched away from … [Read more...]

MLB Free Picks / Selections for Monday

Red Sox at Twins 7:40 pm Eastern Twins SP Pablo Lopez endured a slew of injuries early in his career, but after an injury free 2022 and his current average fast ball velocity sitting at 95 MPH (highest in his career), his arm is sound. Lopez gets a home start vs. a Red Sox team coming off of a double-header sweep of the Yankees yesterday – … [Read more...]

MLB Free Picks / Selections for Sunday

Marlins at Nationals Nationals hitters are making good contact vs lefties over the past 30 days. Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo is carrying an 0-4 record and an ERA over 6.00 in day games so far this season. Nate starter Patrick Corbin has seen better days and his inflated ERA of 4.81 is justified by his underlying numbers. Bet: Over 4.5 … [Read more...]

MLB Free Picks / Selections for Saturday

Marlins at Nationals 4:05 PM Eastern  My bets on MLB teams at -150 or more are few and far between but I have a lot of confidence in Marlins SP Braxton Garrett today and no confidence at all in Nationals starter Jake Irvin. Marlins hitters hold a sky-high ISO away from Miami (ISO is a power/slugging metric). This matchup is ripe for Marlins … [Read more...]

MLB Free Picks / Selections for Friday

Marlins at Nationals 7:05 pm Eastern Nationals starting pitcher Trevor Williams is putting up good strikeout numbers, but he's been terribly inefficient often pushing the 90 to 100 pitch mark after only 5 or 6 innings - Williams has not pitched more than 6 innings this season and will eventually turn the ball over to a Nationals bullpen that is … [Read more...]

Today’s MLB Plays / Free Picks

White Sox at Dodgers  7:10pm pacific Dodger Stadium One walk in his last 9 innings pitched and an elevating swinging strike rate shows that Dodgers SP Michael Grove is improving and better than his current 8.28 ERA would indicate. This is a good spot for the young righty vs. a White Sox team that has one of the lowest batting averages vs RHP in … [Read more...]