The Vegas Sports Book Blog
**(670) St. Bonaventure -2 vs VCU: Both teams hold strong ATS numbers this season but the odds makers have caught up to VCU a bit as they have failed to cover in their last 3 contests and this is the first time they are listed as underdogs since a late November match up vs Memphis. Both have strong defenses but St. Bonaventure’s balanced offense … [Read more...]
**(865) UConn -5 at DePaul: UConn’s across the board underlying numbers are better than DePaul’s. DePaul has given up over 84 PPG over their last 3, which correlates with their subpar defensive efficiency numbers. UConn has shown that they can handle their business on the road and that has a lot to do with their strong defensive play. UConn is … [Read more...]
**(811)Xavier -3.5 vs Providence: Providence has a sub .500 ATS record on the road. Xavier took action early as the -3 number disappeared quickly and is now, as of this writing, a mix of -3.5 and -4 at Vegas books. Xavier's defensive efficiency is stronger than Providence's number and the Friars underlying defensive numbers actually drop away from … [Read more...]
**(624)Miami of Ohio -6.5 vs N. Illinois: Northern Illinois has covered the spread only once in 9 games this season. While Miami of Ohio is no juggernaut, their underlying numbers, especially in their last 3 contests before the hiatus, show marked improvement. Take the home team to cover here. **(662)Evansville -4.5 vs Illinois State: … [Read more...]
**Louisiana Monroe +5.5 vs UT Arlington: Louisiana Monroe has shown me enough playing at home to jump on them as a multi-bucket home dog here. Underlying defensive efficiency numbers favor L-Monroe and several of UT Arlington's key stats drop when the Roadrunners play on the road. L-Monroe has a positive ATS record vs these kind of defenses and … [Read more...]
**(734) SMU -5.5 at Cincinnati: Cincy’s visit to SMU does not come at a good time as the Bearcats are on a 5-game losing streak. Cincinnati was favored in four of the aforementioned five straight up losses, so they have been burning money. SMU is 5-2 (71.4%) ATS this season and 4-1 ATS when favored. SMU’s Kendrick Davis should have himself a … [Read more...]
**(663) Virginia Tech +5 at Louisville: Louisville has gotten better, winning three straight, after the beat down they took from Wisconsin in mid-December. What hasn’t gotten better is their home ATS, which sits at an unprofitable 40% (2-3). Virginia Tech is 2-0 ATS away from home including a good win and cover over Clemson. Several key … [Read more...]
**Clemson -4.5 vs NC State: Clemson has covered all but one of their 7 home games whil NC State’s lone road game was a double digit ATS loss to St.Louis. Clemson’s Aamir Sims is playing well averaging over 13 points and nearly 6 rebounds per game. The injury to NC State’s big man many Bates is a concern – he’s only practiced lightly this … [Read more...]
**Oregon State (#864) +6 vs Stanford: The Cardinal is yet to cover on the road and I am not looking to back them as a road favorite at Corvallis. Stanford should play better than what they showed at Oregon on New Years Day (73-56 loss) but underlying numbers favor the Beavers here...and as I have said, Oregon State seems to always step up vs … [Read more...]
**Rhode Island (#830) -11.5 vs St Josephs: Rhode Island's home victory over St. Bonaventure looks even more impressive now after the Bonnies handled Richmond on the road yesterday. St. Joseph's underlying numbers are poor and they are allowing over 90-points per game. No reason to think that Rhode Island does not roll here. Lay it. **Southern … [Read more...]
