The Vegas Sports Book Blog
Kentucky +3.5 at Auburn. Auburn finally gets to face a top 15 team as they welcome Kentucky to Auburn Arena on Saturday. Auburn's solid back court will be challenged mightily by a Kentucky defense that is efficient as they come, holding opposing offenses to an under 40% shooting percentage. Kentucky will also dominate the boards here - the Wildcats … [Read more...]
Toledo +4.5 at Ohio. This is a very good match up between a pair of strong MAC teams. Toledo and Ohio are at the very top of their conference standings and their respective underlying numbers reflect why. I have this game as an even contest with just a fraction of a point separating these two. Toledo has covered the spread in five straight - with … [Read more...]
**Towson -6.5 vs College of Charleston. Although the ATS record is a mixed bag, Towson has been playing some good basketball during their current 7-1 straight up run. Guard play has been solid and Towson’s rebounding prowess has been evident, which is important in this match-up as College of Charleston is a strong rebounding team but not much … [Read more...]
Mississippi State +6 at Florida. Mississippi State can be undervalued at times in conference play – this may be a spot where that is exactly the case as the line move is making the Bulldogs a deeper underdog than they should be here. This is the first time Mississippi State will tip off as an underdog this season – they have covered 4 out of … [Read more...]
**Kansas -3.5 at Oklahoma. Oklahoma's guard play is trending in the wrong direction, with assists down and turnovers up over the last 3 games for the Sooners. Kansas rolls into Norman with 24-16 (65%) ATS record in its last 30 Big 12 contests - the Jayhawks are always ready come conference play. Kansas rolled vs West Virginia on Saturday so there … [Read more...]
**UNC Wilmington +9 vs College of Charleston. UNC Wilmington has covered in 4 straight and this is the biggest underdog spot (+9 at Westgate SuperBook) for the Seahawks so far this season. UNCW is showing improved guard play, which should continue vs a College of Charleston team that is offense first, defense second. Take the road dog … [Read more...]
Villanova -15 vs Butler. Villanova will win this game. The question is by how much? Butler's back court is suspect and underlying numbers show that a high turnover game looms for them in this road conference match up. Villanova has covered 5 games in a row and their defense at home has been suffocating - which is not good news for Butler given … [Read more...]
**Northwestern +9 at Michigan State. After starting their Big 10 conference slate with 4-losses in a row, I think Northwestern will be motivated to put in a strong effort at Michigan State on Saturday. Northwestern's back court takes care of the ball extremely well and the offense is strong from the free throw line, which is always important when … [Read more...]
Iona -14.5 vs Manhattan. Iona protects the ball, rebounds, and shoots better than Manhattan. The Gaels also have handled the role of road favorites well showing a winning ATS record as away chalk over the past several years. Iona is 8-2 ATS at home so far this season, including a cover vs. Kansas. Iona and their high octane offense takes care of … [Read more...]
**Old Dominion -11 vs UTSA. UTSA has covered the spread in only 8 of their last 32 road games and that trend should continue in this match up. The only edge UTSA has over Old Dominion is in the free throw % department. Old Dominion did clear 80% in their last game (win) vs. Florida International, so there is a signal that the Monarchs are improving … [Read more...]
