The Vegas Sports Book Blog
MLB Underdog Plays. No Favorites, all PLUS Money line....Trust the Process. Underdog Plays: Season 12-8 (+895) Based on $100 bets Cardinals +115: Taking Nats SP Patrick Corbin on a negative money line is not advisable these days. Corbin’s swinging strike rate and first pitch strike percentage are both on the decline. The very lackluster … [Read more...]
April 3 2021 Houston +5 Gonzaga -14 March 29 and March 30 UCLA/Michigan OVER 136L Baylor -7.5 WIN Oregon State +8 WIN March 27 and March 28 Oregon State +7 WIN Houston -6.5 WIN Michigan -2.5 WIN UCLA +6.5 WIN March 21 and March 22 Baylor -6 WIN Oral Roberts +9 WIN Loyola Chicago +7 WIN Gonzaga -14 … [Read more...]
Baseball is back! Here are several MLB season props to consider. Good luck! MLB Divisions & Win Totals Al East: Yankees -220 (Circa) You can take a shot at the Rays or Blue Jays at +500, but the Yankees should run away with things in the AL East. AL Central: Royals 50-1 (William Hill) Yes, the Royals. At 50-1, they are worth a shot … [Read more...]
**(865) UConn -5 at DePaul: UConn’s across the board underlying numbers are better than DePaul’s. DePaul has given up over 84 PPG over their last 3, which correlates with their subpar defensive efficiency numbers. UConn has shown that they can handle their business on the road and that has a lot to do with their strong defensive play. UConn is … [Read more...]
**(811)Xavier -3.5 vs Providence: Providence has a sub .500 ATS record on the road. Xavier took action early as the -3 number disappeared quickly and is now, as of this writing, a mix of -3.5 and -4 at Vegas books. Xavier's defensive efficiency is stronger than Providence's number and the Friars underlying defensive numbers actually drop away from … [Read more...]
**(624)Miami of Ohio -6.5 vs N. Illinois: Northern Illinois has covered the spread only once in 9 games this season. While Miami of Ohio is no juggernaut, their underlying numbers, especially in their last 3 contests before the hiatus, show marked improvement. Take the home team to cover here. **(662)Evansville -4.5 vs Illinois State: … [Read more...]
**(663) Virginia Tech +5 at Louisville: Louisville has gotten better, winning three straight, after the beat down they took from Wisconsin in mid-December. What hasn’t gotten better is their home ATS, which sits at an unprofitable 40% (2-3). Virginia Tech is 2-0 ATS away from home including a good win and cover over Clemson. Several key … [Read more...]
**Clemson -4.5 vs NC State: Clemson has covered all but one of their 7 home games whil NC State’s lone road game was a double digit ATS loss to St.Louis. Clemson’s Aamir Sims is playing well averaging over 13 points and nearly 6 rebounds per game. The injury to NC State’s big man many Bates is a concern – he’s only practiced lightly this … [Read more...]
**Oregon State (#864) +6 vs Stanford: The Cardinal is yet to cover on the road and I am not looking to back them as a road favorite at Corvallis. Stanford should play better than what they showed at Oregon on New Years Day (73-56 loss) but underlying numbers favor the Beavers here...and as I have said, Oregon State seems to always step up vs … [Read more...]
**Rhode Island (#830) -11.5 vs St Josephs: Rhode Island's home victory over St. Bonaventure looks even more impressive now after the Bonnies handled Richmond on the road yesterday. St. Joseph's underlying numbers are poor and they are allowing over 90-points per game. No reason to think that Rhode Island does not roll here. Lay it. **Southern … [Read more...]
