The Vegas Sports Book Blog
MLB Free Pick Orioles +224 vs Yankees The wind will be blowing out today in Yankee Stadium. Orioles righty Tyler Wells and his 6.75 ERA is expected to get shellacked by the Bronx Bombers today and the line shows it. The fact that Wells gives up a lot of fly balls is another reason the number is where it is. Yankees starter Jordan … [Read more...]
Cardinals at Marlins -125 The sports books will need St. Louis today as over 2/3 of the handle and over 70% of tickets are on the Red Birds. Even with their anemic bats, the Marlins are favored for a reason - Pablo Lopez. The projected Cardinals lineup has a combined .188 batting average vs Lopez, who has opened the 2022 season fully cranked. In … [Read more...]
MLB Free Pick White Sox at Guardians -128 (Game 1) Cleveland Ace Shane Bieber will take the mound today vs a modified White Sox lineup in this first game of a double header. Bieber's velocity is a click below where he was at prior to his shoulder injury, but the swinging strike rate is still very strong so he is still striking guys … [Read more...]
Giants at Mets (-121) Over 6.5 (-120 Westgate SuperBook) GAME 1 Given the strong starting pitching taking the mound today at Citi Field, many will be looking at betting the under here. However there are several things pointing to the over in this game. Both batting lineups contain hitters that, combined, have hit over .300 vs Mets starter … [Read more...]
MLB Free Pick Angels +132 at Astros Angels starter Michael Lorenzen pitched well in his debut vs the Marlins, however the lineup he will face today in Houston is a different animal. Lorenzen has had success vs some Astros batters but it all comes in a small sample size. Astros starter Luis Garcia is a good pitcher - Angels batters have … [Read more...]
MLB Free Pick DBacks (+130 first 5 innings) at Mets There are red flags taking the favorite here. First is the line movement. 95% of the money is on the Mets for today's matinee at Citi Field. Yet, this line hasn't moved much since it opened. For example, the Westgate SuperBook opened at DBacks +145 - as of this writing, the line moved to … [Read more...]
MLB Free Pick Braves at Padres (-110) Padres lefty MacKenzie Gore makes his pro debut vs Atlanta this evening at Petco Park. It's a tough way to kick off your pro career but Gore may be catching the Braves at a time where their bats are still working their way into regular season mode. Atlanta hitters are in the bottom half of MLB in batting … [Read more...]
MLB Free Pick Nationals at Pirates (-126) Pirates starter JT Brubaker won't be labeled as a staff ace - a career ERA over 5.00 is one of the reasons why. However, Brubaker can strike batters out and today he gets to pitch vs a Nationals team whose batters are striking out at a 35% clip to start 2022. That's third worst in all MLB. Brubaker … [Read more...]
White Sox starter Vincent Velasquez will take the mound as a fill-in for injured Lucas Giolito's spot in the rotation. The -130 White Sox number on opening day in the South-Side is enticing for many (as of this writing, 81% of the money is on Chicago) but Velasquez is a fill in for a reason. Velasquez will get his strike outs today - however the … [Read more...]
Underdog Play: Brewers at Orioles +140 Brewers hitters have been notoriously bad vs lefty pitchers (2021 + first few games of 2022) and I see no reason why all of a sudden they will pound Orioles SP Bruce Zimmerman today. Zimmerman generally throws a lot of ground balls and has a swinging K rate that is on the rise - several points higher than … [Read more...]
