College Football Championship **Georgia -2.5 vs Alabama College Hoops **Western Carolina +9.5 at East Tenn State: Underlying numbers show that Western Carolina has two key advantages over East Tenn State: 1. They protect the ball better and 2. they hold a modest rebounding advantage. East Tenn State is 2-4 ATS at home so far this season … [Read more...]

***Texas A&M Pick vs Arkansas:  Arkansas' ability to protect the ball away from Fayetteville is suspect and Texas A&M's strong defensive efficiency numbers doesn't give me confidence that the Razorback offense will respond here. Arkansas has stayed under 70 points in their last 2 road games and they will have to do much better scoring-wise … [Read more...]

**Illinois -10.5 vs Maryland:  Maryland taking Iowa to the limit and covering the spread on Monday night was an aberration. Iowa's run and gun offense fell right into Maryland's favor as the Terps mediocre offense benefited from Iowa's high paced offense and lack of defense and rebounding. Things will be much different in Champaign tonight as they … [Read more...]

***Iowa -8.5 vs Maryland:  Maryland is challenged offensively and their underlying scoring numbers really take a hit when they are away from the Xfinity Center. Iowa has taken care of business ATS-wise hitting at nearly 70% so far in 2021/2022. This is Maryland’s first true road game of the season and it’s a tough place to start in what should … [Read more...]