The Vegas Sports Book Blog
Utah -9.5 at Stanford Neither of these teams are ATS juggernauts, however it appears that favorite Utah will have the edge tonight. Utah's defense is regressing slightly, allowing 5.9 yards per play in their last 3 contests. The main culprit is their defensive scheme which appears to be incorporating a softer pass defense. Generally, this would … [Read more...]
***Appalachian State -7 vs Marshall Appalachian State’s defense is good enough (5.1 yds per play – equal to Alabama!) and you would expect the defense to be extra tough at home on a chilly weeknight at "The Rock" in Boone, NC. Since 2018, Appalachian State is 10-6 (62%) ATS in non-conference games. For Marshall, their offense is their … [Read more...]
Week One College Football Plays Saturday September 4 San Diego State -31.5 Arkansas -19.5 Alabama -19.5 San Jose State +14.5 UTSA +5.5 Sunday September 5 Notre Dame -7 … [Read more...]
**Louisiana Monroe +5.5 vs UT Arlington: Louisiana Monroe has shown me enough playing at home to jump on them as a multi-bucket home dog here. Underlying defensive efficiency numbers favor L-Monroe and several of UT Arlington's key stats drop when the Roadrunners play on the road. L-Monroe has a positive ATS record vs these kind of defenses and … [Read more...]
**(734) SMU -5.5 at Cincinnati: Cincy’s visit to SMU does not come at a good time as the Bearcats are on a 5-game losing streak. Cincinnati was favored in four of the aforementioned five straight up losses, so they have been burning money. SMU is 5-2 (71.4%) ATS this season and 4-1 ATS when favored. SMU’s Kendrick Davis should have himself a … [Read more...]
**Providence +4.5 vs Creighton: Creighton is 37% ATS this season as favorites. Their offense is elite but Xavier may have found some weaknesses as the Blue Jays scored a season low 66 points. Providence on the other hand held Butler to 55 points a few days back. The Friars are solid coming off a straight up win sporting a 6-2 ATS record so far this … [Read more...]
Cleveland State -3.5 at Indiana-Purdue: Cleveland State's underlying assist and turnover numbers are headed in the right direction. Their offensive output is strong. Very small sample size for Indiana-Purdue, but regardless, Cleveland State is better and is improving. Lay the points here. Niagara -1.5 at Marist: After a shaky start, Niagara has … [Read more...]
**Iona -7 vs Towson State: Iona is a on a 3-game winning streak ATS and straight up. They are head and shoulders above Towson State when looking at underlying stats and I don't see anyone on the Towson side of the defense that will be able to stop Gaels guard Isaiah, who is flourishing under Rick Patino. Take the home favorite here. **Santa … [Read more...]
**Colorado +2.5 at Arizona: Colorado is a strong 5-2 ATS this season and their underlying numbers play both at home and on the road so I won't hesitate to side with them here. Arizona has had success at home but all have been vs. below average mid majors like UTEP, N. Arizona, and Grambling. And still, their key stats are below Colorado's. Take the … [Read more...]
**Wisconsin -1 at Michigan State : Michigan State's pair of "big" wins this season at Duke and Notre Dame aren't looking too hot right now. Sparty has not covered in their last 4 games - all as favorites. It's good to see that Michigan State's leading scorer and rebounder Joey Hauser's knee issue isn't serious and he will be back but it's … [Read more...]
